Here’s the Best Explanation of the Monty Hall Problem Yet

The Monty Hall Problem is a fantastic probability brain teaser based on the American tv plot show Let ’s Make a Deal — and this video is the good account of it you ’re likely to recover .

The problem is simple . You ’re on a game show , and you ’re given the selection of three doors : behind one door is a auto ; behind the others , goats . You choose one door — say , number 1 — and the horde ( who lie with what ’s behind the doors ) open another door — say number 3 — which has a caprine animal behind it . You ’re then allowed to stick with the doorway you nibble , or select the other one — number 2 in the model .

The question is : should you switch your pick ? The answer is simultaneously blindingly simple and diabolically counterintuitive . But the above video might be your salutary prospect yet at wrap your chief around it . [ YouTube ]